12th December 2023 – (Washington) Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will visit Washington DC this week in a desperate bid to secure billions more in military aid, as congressional Republicans move to slash support for Kyiv’s war effort against Russia’s invasion. The White House meeting on Tuesday with President Joe Biden follows dire warnings that Ukraine could collapse without ongoing American weapons shipments and financial assistance. Officials say current U.S. funding will be depleted by year-end without quick action by Congress. However, Republicans are blocking new Ukraine aid in budget negotiations, demanding tough immigration restrictions in exchange for approving the emergency package. This partisan standoff leaves Ukraine’s future aid uncertain despite months of staunch bipartisan support.

With control of the House, Republicans can imperil the White House’s request for $60 billion more in security assistance for Kyiv. Hardliners increasingly question America’s expansive commitment as the stalemated war drags on. Former President Donald Trump, still influential in the GOP, insists he could swiftly end the conflict if reelected. His “America First” isolationism resonates with conservative voters wary of foreign entanglements. These shifting political winds are whittling away America’s global leadership role. Allies like Ukraine now face mounting uncertainty over U.S. backing as partisan domestic squabbles spill into foreign policy.

This week’s White House visit is Zelensky’s third to Washington but perhaps his most critical. With Russia ramping up attacks on civilians and infrastructure as winter descends, Ukraine desperately needs more Western aid. Zelensky will lobby lawmakers directly to break the congressional funding impasse but he canceled an expected virtual address last week as House infighting erupted. This symbolised his diminishing sway as Republicans demand concessions.

Without urgent U.S. assistance, administration officials warn Ukraine risks losing recent battlefield gains. This could allow Russia to regain momentum or annex occupied territories. Despite Zelensky’s pleas, many House Republicans remain unmoved. This bloc wants Biden’s agreement to Republican immigration proposals before releasing Ukraine funding. They demand immediate expulsions of border crossers and restrictions on asylum applications that Democrats call inhumane but with the GOP wielding House control, Zelensky has little choice but to deal.

The White House is intensifying warnings about the consequences if aid stalls. Officials caution this would hand Putin a major victory, undermine global security, and betray Ukraine’s trust. Yet immigration politics leave bipartisan compromise elusive so far. And the year-end holidays are fast approaching without agreement on the emergency package.

Since Russia invaded in February, Congress approved over $100 billion in security assistance with strong bipartisan backing. Most Republicans joined Democrats in standing up for Ukraine’s sovereign democracy against Putin’s assault. However, conservative support for expansive aid has eroded as the war slogs on with no end in sight. Voters are increasingly focused on domestic issues like inflation. And Trump’s isolationist wing wields rising influence. Hardliners like Rep. Matt Gaetz even accuse party leaders of enriching the “military-industrial complex” through seemingly endless Ukraine funding. This growing scepticism bolstered the right-flank revolt against Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s initial speakership bid. McCarthy was forced to pledge ending “blank check” aid to Ukraine, a concession to the nationalist faction. Newly elected Speaker Rep. Mike Johnson echoes this wariness despite previously backing assistance.

The altered attitudes reflect how Trump’s “America First” worldview has reshaped Republican foreign policy. The traditional GOP embrace of U.S. global leadership is giving way to neo-isolationism and unilateralism.

Many now see little U.S. national interest in defending a distant country like Ukraine. They demand that domestic problems take priority over external commitments. This seismic shift leaves international partners questioning America’s reliability and resolve. Adversaries may become emboldened knowing congressional support fluctuates with partisan politics.

Since World War II, the United States has seen itself as the champion of free nations against authoritarian aggression but today’s congressional dysfunction belies those lofty ideals. Unable to pass basic legislation, Congress shows little capacity to wield U.S. influence globally. And the possibility of a second Trump presidency compounds doubts about American staying power.

If the U.S. abandoned Ukraine after assuring its support, the breach of trust would shatter America’s credibility. How could allies depend on security guarantees elsewhere?

Yet appeasing Putin’s invasion would also demonstrate the folly of relying on fickle Washington. Meanwhile, the Ukraine stalemate drains Russian military might, benefiting the U.S. This complex situation defies easy solutions but the failure of bipartisanship amid partisan score-settling undermines America’s capacity to lead rationally. Congress now risks confirming autocrats’ belief that democracies are inherently weak and divided. Brazen enemies may be tempted to test American resolve in flashpoint regions like Taiwan or the Baltics.

With skilful diplomacy and messaging, the White House must convince lawmakers that upholding U.S. pledges serves the national interest but whether reason can overcome partisan instincts remains uncertain.

Despite White House warnings, the emergency aid package faces a treacherous path, especially in the Republican House. Conservatives are demanding generous border funding plus tougher immigration rules in the legislation. Many Senate Democrats reject draconian asylum restrictions as the price for assisting Ukraine. This drives both sides to their political corners as talks stall. Without resolution, Ukraine funding may get punted into next year as a government shutdown also looms in December. The longer the impasse persists, the shakier U.S. support appears globally.

Even if Congress approves the White House request, questions will endure over America’s long-term Ukraine commitment. Geopolitics often defies moral absolutes. Yet if the U.S. fails its promises to a democratic friend battling authoritarian aggression, the reputational damage will linger. This goes beyond Ukraine to how America wields its power abroad. At stake is whether the U.S. can lead consistently based on enduring values rather than fleeting partisan advantage. Ukraine has become an early test of America’s global character. How Congress responds will set the tone for years hence – for good or ill.