15th September 2023 – (Hong Kong) After the recent onslaught of Super Typhoon Saola and Typhoon Haikui, it seems that Hong Kong may not see relief from stormy weather anytime soon. According to the latest forecast from the Global Forecast System (GFS) by the United States, a tropical cyclone is expected to form near the waters of Haikou City on Thursday, 14th September. It is projected to approach Hong Kong from the west on Friday and Saturday, 15th to 16th September, before making landfall near Yangjiang City to the west of Hong Kong and gradually moving inland. The meteorological charts indicate that this tropical cyclone is of considerable magnitude.
The path and intensity of this “typhoon” are subjects of concern. Referring to the “Earth Weather” meteorological charts from the Hong Kong Observatory and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), initially, there seemed to be no indication of any relevant trends. However, subsequent updates in the forecasts suggest the likelihood of a tropical cyclone approaching Hong Kong and making landfall to the west of the city. Nevertheless, it is important to note that it is still early, and weather predictions are subject to numerous factors, leading to significant variations. Therefore, different forecasting models should be considered as mere references.
Despite the uncertainties, the weather in Hong Kong remains unsettled. According to the predictions from the Hong Kong Observatory, the next nine days are expected to bring intermittent heavy rain and temporary gusts of up to force 4 winds.