Another severe tropical storm may form and enter 500km of Hong Kong next Friday

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23rd September 2022 – (Hong Kong) At noon today, the tropical storm over the seas east of the Philippines was centred about 1210 kilometres east-northeast of Manila. It is forecast to move west at about 18 kilometres per hour in the general direction of the vicinity of the northern part of Luzon. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Talas was centred about 340 kilometres south of Osaka. It is forecast to move north-northeast at about 30 kilometres per hour in the general direction of Honshu of Japan.

Under the influence of the replenishment of the northeast monsoon, it will be windy over the coastal areas of southern China over the weekend. The tropical cyclone over the seas east of the Philippines will move in the general direction of the vicinity of the northern part of Luzon in the next couple of days, and will move across the central and northern parts of the South China Sea and gradually intensify early to midweek next week. Meanwhile, under the combined effect with the northeast monsoon, it will still be windy with showers over the coast of Guangdong. A broad area of low pressure will bring unsettled weather to the South China Sea in the middle and latter parts of next week, but its development remains uncertain. Besides, Tropical Cyclone Talas will move in the general direction of Honshu of Japan today and tomorrow.

In addition, the Observatory expects another broad area of ​​low pressure to bring unstable weather to the South China Sea in the middle to late next week, but there are variables in its development. According to the forecast of the European and American forecasting systems, the low-pressure area in the South China Sea will generally move to the area of ​​Hainan Island next week, and it may approach Hong Kong within 500 kilometres during the National Day holiday next Friday (30th) and next Saturday (1st October). The U.S. forecast even predicts that the area of ​​low pressure has the chance to develop into a tropical cyclone, reaching the level of a severe tropical storm.

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